Eternal flame, Field of Mars, St. Petersburg, Russia.

Monument to the Fallen Fighters of the Revolution, St. Petersburg, Russia, area converted by the Petrograd Soviet from a park to a burial ground after the February Revolution, dedications 1917-1919.

Tuesday, November 7, 2017

Immediate reward drives war. Future remorse is no deterrent; immediate reward of the act drives conflict

Future remorse will not offset belief in the fast, immediate reward. War is not deterred by future remorse concerns.  The issue boils over in theories where issues collide:  is the conflict for a) survival; as in disaster;   or b. turf -- as in "we want what you have" and that's enough. Read "When the English Fall," by David Williams 2017.  Read the NYT review at https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/31/books/review/when-the-english-fall-david-williams.html. Amish and conflict.  What are limits, and options, for pacifism. 

The violent ones.  What is the role of remorse:  Is remorse just because an imposition effort failed? Or because it now is known as morally wrong. What penalty. Does remorse as to the outcome of one war, deter another? Or lead to a greater effort next time, a learning from "mistakes" that led to defeat. War goes on.
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Germany is not alone, although much focus in the west focuses there, see Germany Road Ways.  Buchenwald
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Words start wars. Listen only to the horse. Ignore surrogates.

Hashtag #speakforyourselftrump. The emergent pattern of this pending presidency is for Trump to tweet. Surrogates then fan out to explain, interpret, calm, complain.

Stop it. Listen only to the horse. People, turn off your devices when anyone other than the horse's mouth is speaking. Opinion is not news without clear advance groundwork of fact. What facts does the opinionator agree with before expressing the opinion. Sounds like a courtroom. It is. You are not qualified and your opinion is excluded if not set up that way., what was intended, what was said in full.  Let the speaker speak. Surrogates: just a shield, a testing ground

The process of bandying words works to get rich made Trump rich, including with advice not to speak for yourself. Instead, send someone else when? Whenever the task is not fun for you. The important thing in getting rich is to have a good time -- good time patent that?. See Trump's book, Trump: How to Get Rich by Donald J. Trump, Meredith McIver 2004at pp. 65-68.

 Any leader must be wary of the Big Lie, the political idea on which the leadership itself relies, and that people may initially believe because a) it gives them and their issues personal attention, at last; b) they want to believe it; and c) proof lies beyond their immediate experience so they must rely for truth on the speaker. The Big Lie, however, will fail because over time the experience of the people themselves does not support it; or, after the scapegoated group is removed or better controlled, the problems continue. It sounded good, the bells and whistles sounded as well, but it did not ring true over time.

Time does run out, but not in time for damage to become virtually irreversible in factors needed for stability and productivity.  Categories:  gender, race, ethnicity, religion, endless.

Objecting to the process  of persuading people who feel deeply aggrieved and can be manipulated in whom or what to blame,  is not new, see Ethics and Elections at http://www.scu.edu/ethics/publications/iie/v7n3/demonizing.html/ Why bother pointing it out when there is never any change?  Good question. Persist anyway.

1.  The big lie is integral to propaganda.  When you hear it, discount it.

Persuasion relies on it where the immediate goal is engagement of emotion before facts are examined. An obvious example from the last century is, yes, Adolf Hitler ranting and scapegoating Jews, see overview from Mein Kampf at http://www.historiography-project.com/misc/biglie.html.  While we are there, see also Goebbels, https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jsource/Holocaust/goebbelslie.html
  • Did those descriptions actually meet what ordinary people found and lived in their own communities. Not so much. In time, the scapegoating failed. See the place of the tactic of the big lie in propaganda techniques at the mnemonic at Propaganda Tactics: In Scapegoating Speeches, Find Other Objectives Driving Rhetoric, or ISSFOODR.
2.  Following the Big Lie will come the comeuppance.

Evidence of failure of a big lie:  When the scapegoat is indeed removed, the problems remain. Or the people see that their own former friends and neighbors, now scapegoated, did not fit at all: there was deceit, misleading in their leaders, those they had trusted. Then comes voter vengeance, reversion by revolution, rebellion, or mere subversion over time, a steady drumbeat undermining the forced party line.

Autonomy depends on accurate information on which to base decisions.  Everyone needs the Turul to watch out for truth in the politics.